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SA Oaks

Tomorrow sees the running of the SA Oaks, a race in which I’ve had a lot of luck over the years. It is probably the premier long-distance race for fillies in the country and the winner of the race often goes on to win the Equus Champion Female Stayer of the Year Award, as my filly Festive Occasion did some years ago. I have also won the race, way back in 2004, with my first ever horse, Sabina Park.

I have a filly in this race, who is a daughter of Festive Occasion who will certainly stay out the distance, but she is coming up against an absolute champion. My filly, Do You Remember, can really only win the race if Cherry on the Top either does not see out the distance, which I believe she will, or she has some bad luck in the race. The owners of Cherry on the Top, who are the Oppenheimers, have more than just the winning stake in a R750 000,00 race to look forward to – if Cherry on the Top wins, they immediately get another additional cheque of R1 million as a bonus for winning all three legs of the Triple Tiara.

The Triple Tiara is the female equivalent of the Triple Crown which is essentially a championship series for three year old horses. Do You Remember has come second to Cherry on the Top in both the previous legs of the Triple Tiara, which were graded races, and so while she certainly has a considerable value both now and at stud, it looks very unlikely that if she keeps bumping into Cherry on the Top, and they are both carrying the same weight, that she will ever beat her.

On the Jockey Club ratings we also have no chance – Cherry on the Top is rated 112 and Do You Remember is rated 100 which means that Cherry on the Top should win the race by at least six lengths, although I think she could win by further if they actually push her – which they certainly have not had to in either of the last two races. I would not be surprised to see Cherry on the Top line up in the July, even though she is only a three year old filly, and if she does she is going to be one of the first two or three favourites in the betting.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Friday 26-Apr-13 Share on Facebook   Tweet It

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Comments

Joyce   said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 03:17 PM
I think horse racing can be a fun to people watching the race I remember once upon a time our boss took his staff to Turfontein race course for watching one of his horses running and it was a great privilege experience

Cherise   said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 03:07 PM
Sounds like a great interesting race to be apart of, Its alot of money that can be won. Good luck to all.

Cherise   said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 03:06 PM
Sounds like a great interesting race to be apart of, Its alot of money that can be won. Good luck to all.

Sundome  said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 02:44 PM
I dont bet, when it comes to "gambling" I have bad luck. So yes good luck to those that do bet.

moenisha  said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 08:20 AM
I don't bet, but you guys that do good luck

Benita  said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 08:08 AM
How much should one bet? What would be a safe bet?

Caron  said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 07:33 AM
Learning a lot about the fillies in horse racing having been a stallion and gelding fan for years, owning a retired gelding, Tara's Wood aka Presley, as opposed to a mare as they tend to be absolute cows - personality wise.

david  said:
on Friday 26-Apr-13 06:21 AM
haven't played the horses for a long time - my luck is usually bad. care to give a tip, should i back your horse?

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Johannesburg based attorney specializing in personal injury matters including Road Accident Fund claims and medical negligence matters. My interests include golf, reading and the internet and the way it is constantly developing. I have a passion for life and a desire for less stress!
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